SMM May 3rd News:
Copper: Today, Lun copper opened at 5790 US dollars / ton, today's domestic funds continue to show tension, shibor interest rates collectively rise, 10-year government bond yields rose nearly 5 basis points to 3.51%, the market atmosphere is empty, after the opening Lun Copper followed the daily average of the Shun-Ye line, and then the daily average pressure was consolidating around $5753/ton. During the European session, the copper price of the LME copper stocks increased by 31,250 tons. The copper price dropped sharply and fell below all the moving averages, reaching a low of $5,655/ After a ton, the micro-ups were repaired and reversed. As of 17:25, Luneng reported 5671.5 US dollars / ton, crude oil dollar index reported 99.085, today's copper broke down, completely reversing all the gains since last week, short use of copper stocks The news of the increase was boosted by the strength of the trend. In the evening, it was measured at $5,655/ton, and the copper was returned to the previous operating range.
Today, the Shanghai main copper 1706 contract opened at 46,800 yuan / ton, after the opening pressure under the pressure of short positions, Shanghai copper straight down, fell below the middle of the Brin Road, some short positions profited, copper prices shocked, low After reaching 46,480 yuan / ton, the bottom was supported by the 20-day moving average and the 5-day moving average, turning into shocks, closing at 46,580 yuan / ton, down 290 yuan / ton, warehouse reduction of 1,254 hands to 185,000 hands, trading volume decreased 10898 hands to 131,000 hands, Shanghai copper index warehouse lost 282 hands to 560,838 hands, Shanghai copper 1707 contract Masukura 3318 hands to 154124 hands, the warehouse continues to move. Today, Shanghai copper continued to pull back. During the European period, the copper was severely vented. In the evening, Shanghai copper opened lower, and the center of gravity continued to fall.
Today's Shanghai electrolytic copper spot on the current month contract rose 30 yuan / ton - up 70 yuan / ton, flat water copper transaction price 46,530 yuan / ton -46630 yuan / ton, premium copper transaction price of 46,550 yuan / ton - 46,650 yuan / ton. The Shanghai copper futures fell, the import copper was not opened due to the import ratio, and the previous entry volume was gradually digested, and the proportion of supply decreased. The current copper supply brand is mainly domestic brands, and the holders are reluctant to sell the price. The speculators are active in the market. Absorbing low-cost sources, buying the current throwing period, further pushing up the current copper premium, while the downstream of the copper price fell, the receiving volume increased slightly, and the trading atmosphere continued to improve. In the afternoon, Shanghai copper shocked and consolidated. In the afternoon, the premium was high at 50-70 yuan/ton, and even some people in Guixi copper offered a premium of 80 yuan/ton. However, as the price difference in the afternoon narrowed to 70 yuan/ton, the premium was difficult. High, the market enthusiasm for receiving goods decreased significantly, the quotation quickly fell back to the morning premium of 30-60 yuan / ton, the transaction price fell slightly to 46,500 yuan / ton - 46,590 yuan / ton. The level of premiums tomorrow will probably depend on the size of the monthly spread.
Aluminium: The morning aluminum opened at 1930 US dollars / ton. During the Asian trading session, the turnover of Lun aluminum was slowly shifted downwards. The daily average pressure was under pressure, and the intraday trading fell below the 40-day support. At the beginning of the European trading session, the decline of Lun aluminum increased, and the low position Touched $1913/ton, the low position closed the part of the downtrend, and returned to the top of the 40-day line. As of 17:43, Lun aluminum reported $1925/ton. In the evening, he paid attention to the US ADP data. It is expected that Lun Aluminum will rely on the 40-day moving average. Hold $1925/ton and try to turn over $1940/ton.
Shanghai aluminum opened at 13,970 yuan / ton in the morning, the aluminum price dropped to the daily average of 13,930 yuan / ton, and then fluctuated within a narrow range around the point, the low touched 13,890 yuan / ton, the early short-term early departure, wait and see, Shanghai Aluminum lows rebounded, the high position touched 13,980 yuan / ton, closed at 13,960 yuan / ton, the overall trend is relatively light, the volume decreased to 203,724 hands, the position decreased by 13,220 hands to 2,455,78 hands. After Shanghai's record of two consecutive negatives, it has not taken the plunge and the long-short performance is more cautious. It is expected that the short-term correction will be limited in depth and there will be some room for rebound. The short-term goal is still to stand on the threshold.
In terms of spot, aluminum futures fluctuated around 13,860 yuan/ton after diving at the beginning of the month. The transaction volume in Shanghai was 13800-13820 yuan/ton, the discount for the month was 70-50 yuan/ton, the transaction in Wuxi was 13800-13810 yuan/ton, and the transaction in Hangzhou was 13820-13830 yuan/ton. The holders continued to sell at a very high price. The middlemen maintained the goods for the downstream enterprises. The arbitrage space was still closed. The aluminum was sideways, showing signs of stabilization. The willingness of downstream enterprises to further increase the cargo. The overall transaction was warmer than yesterday. It is the tight supply that leads to an increase in transaction activity. In the late afternoon, aluminum was shocked and consolidated in the month, and the market rose at the end of the day. The transaction price of East China was 13810-13820 yuan/ton.
Lead: In the day, the lead was opened at 2262.5 US dollars / ton. After the opening, the opening was reduced, and the lead was quickly down, and it was consolidating around 2220 USD/ton. In the afternoon until the end of Asia, the basic metals were mostly down, and the lead was down. On the first floor, it is difficult to vent. After entering the European period, it will find a low of 2,190 US dollars / ton. After the opening of the day, the overall trend is weak, showing a downward trend. A big yin stick, the decline is close to 2%, and it takes 2 days after the festival. All gains, fell below the three moving averages, directly down the next 10-day moving average, as of 17:08, reported 2,199 US dollars / ton, down 43.5 US dollars / ton, down 1.94%. Lun lead has already fallen below the $2,200/ton mark. In the evening, it continues to test the support of the 10-day moving average below. In the short-term, the focus shifts to the 5th-10th moving average of 2185-2225 USD/ton.
In the day, the Shanghai main lead 1706 contract opened at 16,500 yuan / ton, after the opening rallies, the short-selling, the lead price quickly fell to 16,270 yuan / ton after some low-level liquidation, the lead price briefly rose to 16,300 yuan / ton, afternoon, Short-selling victory, the low position reached 16,195 yuan / ton, closed at 16,230 yuan / ton, down 255 yuan / ton, down 1.55%. The main volume increased by 11990 lots to 50,978 lots, and the positions increased by 1502 lots to 49,988 lots. Shanghai lead was completely under pressure from the bears during the day, and the trend was weak. There was no rebound. It fell below the 20-day and 5-day moving averages, and it was forced to push the 10-day moving average. The evening test was around 16100 yuan/ton, and the short-term lead price or Small consolidation near the 5 and 10 day moving averages. Focus on changes in short-seller forces
Shanghai market Jinsha lead 16300 yuan / ton, for the 1706 contract flat water offer, no transaction; the West Mine 16,100 yuan / ton, to the 1706 contract premium 200 yuan / ton, there are a small number of transactions. The market basically retreated yesterday's gains, and the holders' willingness to ship was general. At the same time, due to the low season of consumption, the production enthusiasm was not high, and the procurement side was less and less, and the overall market was in short supply.
Guangdong market Jinhai lead 16225 yuan / ton to the factory, the SMM average price of flat water offer, no transaction. The enthusiasm of the holders is not high, the downstream is basically fixed by sales, the purchase is relatively cautious, and the transaction is still relatively light.
The price of Jinli in Henan is 16125 yuan/ton, and the average price of SMM is around 100 yuan/ton. There is no transaction at present; Wanyang does not quote. The battery market continued its off-season trend, and the downstream willingness to accept goods was poor, and the transaction was light.
Anhui Tongguan lead price of 16,300 yuan / ton, 1706 contract flat water offer, no transaction; Jiangxi Jinde lead 16125 yuan / ton, SMM average price of 100 yuan / ton, no transaction; Yunnan Zhenxing lead is basically long Single transaction is the main transaction, and the order is not shipped. The overall market trading is weak.
Zinc: Today, Lun Zinc opened at 2651.5 US dollars / ton. At the beginning of the session, the zinc sulphide continued to fluctuate downwards. It first operated in a narrow range around US$2620/ton. In the afternoon, the US dollar index also rose, and the zinc was further pressured and entered Europe. During the period, the price of zinc has been intensified, and it has dropped to 2,601 US dollars / ton, and the 2,600 US dollar mark is in jeopardy. As of 17:30. Lun Zinc reported 2603.5 US dollars / ton, up 48 US dollars / ton, an increase of 1.81%. Zinelen Zinc fell nearly 2%, has already retreated all the gains in the week before the festival, the decline has not stopped, and it is expected that the zinc will return to the previous operating platform after the end of the 2,600 US dollars / ton mark.
Today, Shanghai zinc main contract 1706 opened at 22,180 yuan / ton, Shanghai zinc opened short-term low to 22040 yuan / ton, then zinc prices tried to adjust but quickly reduced by long positions, Shanghai zinc began to explore the way, all the way Concussion down to 21900 yuan / ton near the consolidation operation. In the afternoon, Shanghai Zinc was under pressure from the daily average and was weakly running. It was sorted at 21,880 yuan/ton, and the late trading was not adjusted. Closed at 21,895 yuan / ton, down 410 yuan / ton, up 1.84%. In terms of warehouse volume, the volume of transactions increased by 96,072 lots to 248,000 lots, and the number of positions decreased by 5,800 lots to 248,000 hands. The 1707 contract increased the position of 8318 hands, and the short-selling counter was obvious. During the day, the black group collectively turned down, and Shanghai Zinc was affected by this. It was running weakly and recorded a big shady stick. The 5th and 20th moving averages below form a gold fork support, while the upper 22,000 yuan / ton pressure is obvious. In the evening, Shanghai zinc is expected to continue its downward trend and test the 5-day moving average support.
Today, the mainstream flow of 0# zinc in Shanghai is 22150-22320 yuan/ton, and the price of Shanghai Zinc 1706 contract is 270~liters 330 yuan/ton, which is 10 yuan/ton higher than yesterday's premium. 1# Zinc mainstream traded at 22100-22290 yuan / ton. Smelters and traders normally ship, but due to large fluctuations in the disk, the receiving goods are more cautious; recently, some India, Mexico, Peru and other brands imported zinc into the market, the market supply is abundant, Shanghai spot premium is affected, plus downstream The consumption was weak, the goods were slightly negative, and the overall transaction was light.
Today, Guangdong #0 zinc mainstream turnover in 21980-22110 yuan / ton, the main contract 1706 contract water 180-200 yuan / ton. The premium is 20 yuan/ton higher than yesterday, and the city has a discount of 100 yuan/ton to the Shanghai stock market. The price of zinc fell, the refinery shipped normally, and the price of traders was firmer. The spread between Shanghai and Guangdong narrowed to less than 100 yuan/ton. Downstream fears dominated, and there were quite a lot of inquiries, but few people got the goods. The overall market turnover was average, slightly better than yesterday. 0# Danxia, ​​Tiefeng, Kirin mainstream transactions in 21980-22110 yuan / ton.
Today, Tianjin market 0# zinc ingot mainstream turnover in 22180-23240 yuan / ton, 0 # universal brand mainstream turnover in 22180-22220 yuan / ton. 0 red 烨, Chi Hong on the 1706 contract premium 260-300 yuan / ton, the premium is basically the same as the Shanghai stock market. The refinery shipped normally, and the zinc price fluctuated and fell back. However, the environmental protection pressure remained cloudy and the fresh people entered the market downstream. The transaction was unchanged from yesterday, and it was still meager. 0#红烨, Chihong sold at 22180-22220 yuan / ton. 1#红烨, Chihong sold at 22130-22160 yuan / ton.
Tin: Today, Lunxi opened at $19970/ton. During the Asian session and the beginning of the European and American trading, the trend fluctuated. From 19950 USD/ton, the pressure fell, the lowest hit 19,900 USD/ton, and the intraday volatility was only US$50/ton. This week the market will usher in Fed rate resolutions and non-agricultural data. The Fed will announce the interest rate decision in the early morning tomorrow, and the market is expected to remain inactive, but may suggest a rate hike in June, or a narrower way to elaborate. Recently, LME tin stocks continued to decline, and rising spot prices rose, indicating that the market is worried about tin ingot supply. If Lunxi loses support on the 40-day moving average, it is likely to fall to the 20-day moving average. The bottom support will move down to $19,800/ton, and the short-term is expected to remain in the range of $19,800-$20,000/ton.
Yesterday's night trading Shanghai Tin 1709 contract did not extend the daytime rally, the head fell slightly, closing at 143,730 yuan / ton. Today, the opening price of 143,510 yuan / ton, the day continued to weaken the situation fluctuated and fell, the lowest touched 142,840 yuan / ton in the afternoon, and finally closed at 142,960 yuan / ton, compared with the previous day settlement price fell 1,740 yuan / ton, a decrease of 1.20%. The turnover of 12,948 increased by 2,438 lots, and the number of positions was increased by 114 hands by 11418. The pace of China's manufacturing expansion slowed in April, when the fiscal manufacturing PMI fell to a seven-month low. In the case of a slowdown in PP I, manufacturing may face downward pressure in the second quarter. The Shanghai Stock Exchange will test the 20-day moving average below the market. If it falls below, it will fall back to around 141,500 yuan/ton.
In the Shanghai-Shenzhen market, today's Shanghai-City Tin has turned back and the spot price has been falling. The mainstream price of the morning market was 141,500-143,000 yuan/ton, and it was gradually lowered to 141,000-142,500 yuan/ton around noon. In the afternoon, as the futures price weakened further, the mainstream price gradually fell to 140,700-142,300 yuan/ton, and the ordinary cloud word fell to 141,000. -141,500 yuan / ton, small brand 140,700-14,1000 yuan / ton, Yunxi fell to 141,800 - 142,300 yuan / ton. . The enthusiasm of the holders for shipments is high, but the number of receivers is small, and neither the downstream nor the traders are trading.
Nickel: Today, the nickel plate was opened at US$9550/ton. In the morning, the nickel was running below the daily average. The nickel was weak at the beginning of the session. With the opening of the domestic market, the nickel was further lower, as low as $9,465/ Tons, around the average daily fluctuation around the daily average. In the afternoon, the Philippine Ministry of the Environment no longer appointed the Lopez incident, and the nickel stepped down, and successively fell to break the multiple integer mark. The Philippine environmental protection rectification that the market hopes is no longer, and the negative sentiment is vented. As of 17:50, Lun Nickel reported at $9315/ton, down $230/ton, or 2.4%, showing a bald-yin line. SMM believes that the Philippine Environment Minister Lopez has no influence on nickel ore shipments. After the rainy season in the main nickel-producing area of ​​the Philippines, Su Ligao in the Philippines, the shipment of nickel mines in the Philippines has recovered to the level of the second quarter of last year. It is expected to continue to repair around $9,350/ton in the evening.
Today, Shanghai's main nickel 1709 opened at 79,960 yuan / ton in early trading. At the beginning of the session, the short position was active and actively increased positions. The Shanghai nickel market led to short positions and profit margins. Shanghai nickel rose in a narrow range. In the afternoon, it was suppressed by the Philippines and the Shanghai nickel stepped lower. , low to 79,130 ​​yuan / ton, close to close, closed position correction, closing at 79,380 yuan / ton. Shanghai nickel closed at the long shadow line of the upper shadow line, which was 690 yuan/ton lower than the previous trading day, a decrease of 0.86%. The trading volume increased by 77,500 hands to 284,000 hands, and the volume increased by 12056 hands to 590,000 hands. In the evening, Shanghai Nickel will make up for it.
Shanghai stock market, SMM1# electrolytic nickel 77880-80500 yuan / ton, today's nickel price shocks fell slightly, due to the reduction of domestic stainless steel steel mills, nickel demand decreased significantly, morning market turnover, Russian nickel premium 400 yuan / ton The transaction, Jinchuan Shengshui 1900-2000 yuan / ton transaction, the transaction range of 77800-80200 yuan / ton. Jinchuan Company lowered the price of Shanghai area by RMB 500/ton to RMB 80,200/ton, which is in line with the market price. In the afternoon, after the nickel price fell rapidly, the market turnover was scarce, and the transaction focus shifted to 77300-79700 yuan/ton.
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